MMDM: Measuring Massive Multitask Decision Making

Junhao Shen, Qing Zong, Yue Guo, Zhanqiu Zhang, Yiwen Guo, Hong Cheng

The Chinese University of Hong Kong · Hong Kong University of Science and Technology · LIGHTSPEED · Independent Researcher

Published November 10, 2026 · on the feed November 11, 2026 · ▲ 26 · arXiv 2611.14309

The abstract

System-1 Decision Models directly make structured probabilistic decisions over query-specified options given a state in a single forward pass, without autoregressively generating reasoning trajectories or textual responses. Recent evaluations cover diverse tasks but often rely on existing benchmarks, where prior exposure to test material can obscure generalization. Moreover, real-world decision making often involves long contexts, large option spaces, and complex logical dependencies, challenges that existing benchmarks do not adequately capture together. Thus, we introduce MMDM (Massive Multitask Decision Making), a benchmark of 5,448 high-quality questions across 16 task categories, combining newly constructed tasks with source-grounded recompositions and rewrites for single-select, multi-select, and soft-label decision making in fresh contexts. It covers realistic scenarios such as agent state tracking, tool and skill selection, preference judgments, and rubric scoring, with option spaces ranging from 2 to 1,024 and inputs extending to 64,817 tokens. With MMDM, we conduct a comprehensive quantitative evaluation of 28 decision models, showing that many perform well on common knowledge yet struggle with interdependent options, constrained decisions, and multi-select tasks. For example, Perplexity Decider-V1.2 reaches 78.75% Hard Single-select Accuracy on world knowledge, but only 53.95% on option logic and 47.95% on constraint planning, while the best Hard Multi-select Accuracy across all models is 36.81%. These results highlight joint reasoning, constraint-aware selection, and complete multi-select recovery as key priorities for decision model development, with MMDM providing a testbed for measuring this progress.

The Brief

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A short podcast summary of the paper. Written and voiced by AI.

Transcript

MMDM. Measuring Massive Multitask Decision Making. By Junhao Shen and five others, from the Chinese University of Hong Kong, the Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, and two other institutions. Published on the tenth of November.

A System-1 Decision Model does not write out its reasoning. Given a state, it makes a structured probabilistic decision over options specified by the query, in a single forward pass, without generating reasoning trajectories or text. Recent evaluations of such models cover diverse tasks, but they often rely on existing benchmarks, and prior exposure to that test material can obscure how well a model generalizes. Real-world decisions also tend to combine long contexts, large option spaces and complex logical dependencies, and existing benchmarks do not capture those challenges together. A benchmark can test long inputs, or many options, or tangled logic, but a real decision often brings all three at once, and a model that copes with each one separately may still fail when they arrive together.

MMDM, short for Massive Multitask Decision Making, measures decisions of three kinds: single-select, multi-select, and soft-label, all posed in fresh contexts. Its scenarios are meant to be realistic. They include agent state tracking, tool and skill selection, preference judgments, and rubric scoring. The three formats ask different things of a model. A single-select question wants the one right option. A multi-select question wants every right option and none of the wrong ones. Soft-label decisions round out the set, fitting models whose output is a probabilistic decision in the first place.

The benchmark holds five thousand four hundred and forty-eight high-quality questions across sixteen task categories. Some tasks are newly constructed. Others are source-grounded recompositions and rewrites, which is how the material is kept fresh rather than lifted from earlier test sets. Option spaces range from two choices up to one thousand and twenty-four, and inputs extend to sixty-four thousand eight hundred and seventeen tokens.

Twenty-eight decision models are evaluated. The broad pattern is that many do well on common knowledge, and struggle with interdependent options, constrained decisions, and multi-select tasks. Knowing a fact is one skill. Weighing options that bear on each other, or picking under a constraint, is another, and the results suggest the second lags well behind the first.

One model shows the slope clearly. Perplexity Decider-V1.2 reaches seventy-eight point seven five percent Hard Single-select Accuracy on world knowledge. On option logic it drops to fifty-three point nine five percent, and on constraint planning to forty-seven point nine five percent. Multi-select is harder still. The best Hard Multi-select Accuracy across all the models is thirty-six point eight one percent. That number is a ceiling, not an average: no model among the twenty-eight recovers the full set of correct options on even two hard multi-select questions in five.

Read as a list of priorities, the results point at three things decision models do not yet do well: reason jointly over options that depend on each other, select while respecting constraints, and recover every correct answer when more than one is right. MMDM is offered as the testbed for measuring progress on exactly those.

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Chapter 1 🧩 · The problem

The scores look fine. The question is whether they mean anything.

You are testing models that pick among given options in one forward pass, with no written reasoning. Their scores look good, but they come from well-known benchmarks the models may already have seen.

The road ahead

  1. 1 · The problem ~6 min Decision models score well on familiar benchmarks, but those scores may reflect memory, and no test combines the hardships real decisions bring.
  2. 2 · What came before ~3 min
  3. 3 · The key idea ~9 min MMDM is a benchmark of fresh decision questions that combine long inputs, big option sets and linked options, in three answer formats.
  4. 4 · Choose your own research ~3 min
  5. 5 · How it works ~3 min
  6. 6 · The experiment ~6 min You’ll guess: Across all the decision models tested, what was the best Hard Multi-select Accuracy, where every correct option must be recovered?
  7. 7 · The viva ~5 min Three questions from the examiners, answered in your own words. Win it for the paper’s trophy.
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