TSFLab: A Self-Improving Agent-Agnostic Workbench for Time Series Forecasting Research
ChengAo Shen, Yanjun Zhao, Haoxin Liu, Bonnie Chen, Miles Ma, Dongjin Song, Hanghang Tong, Qingsong Wen and 2 others
University of Houston · University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign · Georgia Institute of Technology · University of Nottingham · Abel · UConn
Published October 29, 2026 · on the feed November 2, 2026 · ▲ 2 · arXiv 2610.40901
The abstract
As publications and products on time series forecasting (TSF) proliferate, researchers face a growing burden of analyzing existing work. First, not all publications release code. For instance, only about 20% of arXiv TSF papers have a code link in the surveyed period. Second, released code also requires manual maintenance. Thus, TSF researchers must constantly adapt or implement existing works. However, independent implementations can differ in experimental settings and are difficult to maintain. We therefore propose to use AI agents for benchmarking TSF research and even supporting autoresearch, e.g., developing new TSF models. Yet directly applying existing coding agents, such as Claude Code and Codex, is suboptimal: prohibitive costs, limited scalability to large research projects (e.g., benchmarking), and lack of self-maintenance. To address these challenges, we propose TSFLab, a self-improving agent-agnostic "workbench" that equips compatible coding agents with shared resources and tools for low-cost TSF research and continuous maintenance of research resources. Our experiments cover reproduction, benchmarking, and new method development. In reproduction and benchmarking, TSFLab improves task completion by 20-163% and cuts fresh tokens per completed task by 11-66% across baselines. A pilot study of agent-driven method development also shows improved forecasting accuracy via TSFLab, with 32.8-73.6% fewer fresh tokens and 9.2-68.8% less development time than the other settings.
The Brief
2:20A short podcast summary of the paper. Written and voiced by AI.
Transcript
TSFLab. A Self-Improving Agent-Agnostic Workbench for Time Series Forecasting Research. By ChengAo Shen and nine others, from the University of Houston, the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, and five other institutions. Published on the twenty-ninth of October.
Publications and products on time series forecasting, TSF, keep multiplying, and researchers carry a growing burden just analysing existing work. Not every publication releases code: in the surveyed period, only about twenty percent of arXiv TSF papers had a code link. Code that is released still needs manual maintenance. Researchers end up constantly adapting or reimplementing earlier work, and independent implementations can differ in experimental settings and are hard to keep up to date.
One response is to hand this to AI agents, for benchmarking and even for autoresearch, such as developing new TSF models. Applying existing coding agents like Claude Code and Codex directly falls short on three counts: the costs are prohibitive, they scale poorly to large research projects such as benchmarking, and they lack any self-maintenance.
TSFLab is a workbench placed between the agent and the research. It is agent-agnostic, so it works with any compatible coding agent, and it equips that agent with shared resources and tools. The aim is research at low cost, together with continuous maintenance of the research resources themselves, which is the sense in which the workbench is self-improving.
Rather than each agent starting from scratch on every task, compatible agents draw on what the workbench already holds, and the workbench keeps those resources maintained over time. The experiments exercise it on three kinds of work: reproduction, benchmarking, and the development of new methods.
For reproduction and benchmarking, TSFLab improves task completion by between twenty and one hundred and sixty-three percent across baselines. It also cuts fresh tokens per completed task by between eleven and sixty-six percent.
A pilot study of agent-driven method development points the same way. With TSFLab, forecasting accuracy improves, while using between thirty-two point eight and seventy-three point six percent fewer fresh tokens. Development time is between nine point two and sixty-eight point eight percent shorter than in the other settings.
Instead of a smarter agent, a better-stocked bench. The proposal is that the cost and upkeep problems of agent-run research sit in the shared environment as much as in the agent, and that fixing the environment once lets whichever agent comes next do more of the work for fewer tokens.
More with an account
Listen to every day’s papers
Daily playlists, deep dives, quests for the papers, and quizzes on their key terms.
Join free