TempCloze: Can Video-LLMs Identify the Missing Middle?

Wenqi Pei, Henry Hengyuan Zhao, Yilai Liu, Jiahao Meng, Han Chen, Ziyu Wang, Hongyang Du

The University of Hong Kong · National University of Singapore · Peking University

Published September 1, 2026 · on the feed September 11, 2026 · ▲ 30 · arXiv 2609.01515

The abstract

Temporal reasoning benchmarks for Video-LLMs are often mediated by language, leaving room for linguistic shortcuts from option wording, answer correlations, or language priors. To reduce such shortcuts, we introduce TempCloze, a video cloze benchmark for evaluating visual temporal reasoning in Video-LLMs. Given the beginning and ending clips of a video, models must identify the true missing middle from four candidates. TempCloze contains 1,521 carefully filtered videos from seven sources, mainly long-take and egocentric videos. We construct same-source distractors along three dimensions: Semantic asks what event should happen, Alignment probes when it should occur, and Progression tests how it should unfold, while shared scenes and objects reduce appearance cues. Our evaluation of 10 proprietary and 21 open-source Video-LLMs reveals Alignment as the primary bottleneck: models often recognize plausible semantic content and local event progression but struggle with temporal alignment. We further conduct error pattern and behavioral sensitivity analyses on TempCloze-Mixed and TempCloze-Hard with four representative models to examine where errors arise and how candidate order, context direction, visible span, frame density, and test-time scaling influence model choices.

The Brief

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Transcript

TempCloze. Can Video-LLMs Identify the Missing Middle?. By Wenqi Pei and six others, from the University of Hong Kong, the National University of Singapore, and one other institution. Published on the first of September. Its code repository is public and real: about thirty-five source files.

Benchmarks for temporal reasoning in Video-LLMs usually ask their questions through language. That leaves room for shortcuts that have nothing to do with watching the video. A model might lean on how the options are worded, on correlations among answers, or on plain language priors. A score earned that way says little about whether the model reasons visually about time.

TempCloze is built to reduce those shortcuts. It is a video cloze benchmark, meaning a fill-in-the-blank test for video. A model sees the beginning clip and the ending clip of a video and must identify the true missing middle from four candidates. The answer has to come from reasoning about what happened between the two ends.

The benchmark contains one thousand five hundred and twenty-one carefully filtered videos from seven sources, mostly long-take and egocentric footage. The distractors come from the same source as the real middle, and they vary along three dimensions. Semantic asks what event should happen. Alignment probes when it should occur. Progression tests how it should unfold. Because the candidates share scenes and objects, appearance alone gives little away.

The evaluation covers ten proprietary and twenty-one open-source Video-LLMs, and it points to Alignment as the primary bottleneck. Models often recognize plausible semantic content, and they follow local event progression, but they struggle with temporal alignment: placing the event at the right time.

Two harder variants, TempCloze-Mixed and TempCloze-Hard, are used with four representative models to analyse error patterns and behavioural sensitivity. Those analyses look at where errors arise and how several factors sway the model's choice: the order of the candidates, the direction of the context, how much of the video is visible, frame density, and test-time scaling.

By stripping language out of the answer, the benchmark isolates a narrower question: given two ends of a video, can a model find the middle? Its answer is that knowing what happens, and how it unfolds, comes easier to current models than knowing when.

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Chapter 1 🧩 · The problem

A model that aces a quiz might never have watched the video. Start there.

You want to know whether video models really reason about time. Today's benchmarks ask questions in words and let the model pick among written answers.

The road ahead

  1. 1 · The problem ~6 min Video benchmarks ask about time in words, so a model can score well from the wording alone without really watching the video.
  2. 2 · What came before ~3 min
  3. 3 · The key idea ~8 min Show the start and end of a video and make the model pick the true missing middle from four video clips cut from that same video.
  4. 4 · Choose your own research ~3 min
  5. 5 · How it works ~3 min
  6. 6 · The experiment ~6 min You’ll guess: Of the three kinds of wrong video candidates, which one tripped up the Video-LLMs most?
  7. 7 · The viva ~5 min Three questions from the examiners, answered in your own words. Win it for the paper’s trophy.
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